▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
FIN · National Team

Finland

Finland national football team
ESPN
Played 823
Draw % 20.3%
No-draw N 2
Max streak 21 26 Mar 2018 → 18 Nov 2019
Avg top run 12.1 top 10
Draw debt E 0.31
p50 16.0%
p100 15.0%
Draw score 0.120 rank #1,355 Draws 167
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,611 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,793 reached 27 Mar 2002
Rank #109 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 822 last 6 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W L W L D L L L L L L W D L W L L W L L W W D L L W W D W L
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 127 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Finland drew 22 where the draw model expected 27.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 1 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 21 26 Mar 2018 → 18 Nov 2019 2 15 09 Jan 2023 → 04 Jun 2024 3 15 11 Oct 2003 → 01 Dec 2004 4 12 15 Oct 1986 → 19 May 1988 5 11 11 Oct 2008 → 05 Sep 2009 6 10 27 May 1994 → 15 Feb 1995 7 10 08 Dec 1980 → 23 Sep 1981 8 9 07 Jun 2025 → 27 Mar 2026 9 9 10 Jan 2002 → 16 Oct 2002 10 9 09 Mar 1984 → 20 Nov 1984
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 343 77 22.5%
FIFA World Cup qualification 145 26 17.9%
Nordic Championship 134 24 17.9%
UEFA Euro qualification 125 24 19.2%
UEFA Nations League 29 3 10.3%
Cyprus International Tournament 8 3 37.5%
King's Cup 7 1 14.3%
Nehru Cup 5 2 40.0%
Malta International Tournament 5 2 40.0%
Prime Minister's Cup 5 2 40.0%
Baltic Cup 4 1 25.0%
Olympic Games 3 0 0.0%
UEFA European Championship 3 0 0.0%
Dunhill Cup 3 0 0.0%
Four Nations Tournament 2 1 50.0%
FIFA Series 2 1 50.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 9 2 22.2% 4
2025 10 1 10.0% 8
2024 10 1 10.0% 6
2023 12 0 0.0% 12
2022 10 5 50.0% 3
2021 15 3 20.0% 6
2020 8 0 0.0% 8
2019 12 0 0.0% 12
2018 11 1 9.1% 9
2017 10 4 40.0% 3
2016 11 2 18.2% 4
2015 9 3 33.3% 5
2014 10 3 30.0% 3
2013 12 3 25.0% 4
2012 10 3 30.0% 4
2011 10 2 20.0% 7
2010 9 1 11.1% 5
2009 11 2 18.2% 8
2008 9 2 22.2% 3
2007 10 5 50.0% 4
2006 12 6 50.0% 2
2005 13 2 15.4% 8
2004 13 1 7.7% 12
2003 14 3 21.4% 7
2002 11 1 9.1% 9
2001 13 4 30.8% 6
2000 13 3 23.1% 4
1999 10 3 30.0% 3
1998 10 4 40.0% 3
1997 10 3 30.0% 4
1996 9 2 22.2% 5
1995 11 2 18.2% 7
1994 14 3 21.4% 9
1993 15 4 26.7% 4
1992 9 4 44.4% 3
1991 7 3 42.9% 2
1990 9 5 55.6% 2
1989 13 4 30.8% 5
1988 11 5 45.5% 5
1987 5 0 0.0% 5
1986 11 4 36.4% 3
1985 10 2 20.0% 6
1984 11 2 18.2% 9
1983 5 1 20.0% 3
1982 9 2 22.2% 6
1981 9 0 0.0% 9
1980 9 2 22.2% 4
1979 9 3 33.3% 3
1978 8 1 12.5% 4
1977 8 1 12.5% 4
1976 9 0 0.0% 9
1975 5 1 20.0% 4
1974 6 2 33.3% 3
1973 5 1 20.0% 3
1972 6 3 50.0% 2
1971 7 2 28.6% 3
1970 5 2 40.0% 2
1969 7 1 14.3% 4
1968 6 0 0.0% 6
1967 7 1 14.3% 6
1966 8 2 25.0% 4
1965 7 1 14.3% 4
1964 7 0 0.0% 7
1963 3 2 66.7% 1
1962 3 0 0.0% 3
1961 6 0 0.0% 6
1960 5 0 0.0% 5
1959 4 0 0.0% 4
1958 3 0 0.0% 3
1957 9 0 0.0% 9
1956 6 1 16.7% 3
1955 5 0 0.0% 5
1954 5 1 20.0% 2
1953 6 2 33.3% 2
1952 7 0 0.0% 7
1951 6 2 33.3% 2
1950 5 0 0.0% 5
1949 6 2 33.3% 3
1948 5 1 20.0% 3
1947 5 1 20.0% 2
1946 3 0 0.0% 3
1945 2 0 0.0% 2
1943 2 1 50.0% 1
1941 1 0 0.0% 1
1940 3 0 0.0% 3
1939 7 0 0.0% 7
1938 6 0 0.0% 6
1937 6 0 0.0% 6
1936 4 1 25.0% 2
1935 5 2 40.0% 3
1934 6 2 33.3% 3
1933 5 0 0.0% 5
1932 6 0 0.0% 6
1931 5 1 20.0% 3
1930 5 1 20.0% 4
1929 7 1 14.3% 4
1928 5 1 20.0% 3
1927 4 0 0.0% 4
1926 6 1 16.7% 5
1925 8 2 25.0% 6
1924 6 0 0.0% 6
1923 7 0 0.0% 7
1922 4 0 0.0% 4
1921 5 1 20.0% 4
1920 3 0 0.0% 3
1919 2 1 50.0% 1
1914 1 0 0.0% 1
1912 5 1 20.0% 4
1911 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 06 Oct 2026 Belarus 1–0 Finland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 03 Oct 2026 Finland 2–1 Albania H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 29 Sep 2026 Finland 0–0 Belarus D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 26 Sep 2026 San Marino 0–7 Finland A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 26 Sep 2026 San Marino Calcio 0–7 Finland A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 05 Jun 2026 Hungary 2–1 Finland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 May 2026 Germany 4–0 Finland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 30 Mar 2026 Cape Verde 1–1 Finland D ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 27 Mar 2026 New Zealand 0–2 Finland A ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 17 Nov 2025 Finland 4–0 Andorra H ITL · Friendly
☆ 14 Nov 2025 Finland 0–1 Malta A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 12 Oct 2025 Netherlands 4–0 Finland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Oct 2025 Finland 2–1 Lithuania H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2025 Poland 3–1 Finland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 04 Sep 2025 Norway 1–0 Finland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 10 Jun 2025 Finland 2–1 Poland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 07 Jun 2025 Finland 0–2 Netherlands A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2025 Lithuania 2–2 Finland D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 21 Mar 2025 Malta 0–1 Finland A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 17 Nov 2024 Finland 0–2 Greece A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Nov 2024 Republic of Ireland 1–0 Finland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 13 Oct 2024 Finland 1–3 England A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Oct 2024 Finland 1–2 Republic of Ireland A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Sep 2024 England 2–0 Finland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 07 Sep 2024 Greece 3–0 Finland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 07 Jun 2024 Scotland 2–2 Finland D ITL · Friendly
☆ 04 Jun 2024 Portugal 4–2 Finland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Mar 2024 Finland 2–1 Estonia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Wales 4–1 Finland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Nov 2023 San Marino 1–2 Finland A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Nov 2023 Finland 4–0 Northern Ireland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Oct 2023 Finland 1–2 Kazakhstan A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2023 Slovenia 3–0 Finland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 10 Sep 2023 Finland 0–1 Denmark A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2023 Kazakhstan 0–1 Finland A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 19 Jun 2023 Finland 6–0 San Marino H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Jun 2023 Finland 2–0 Slovenia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 26 Mar 2023 Northern Ireland 0–1 Finland A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 23 Mar 2023 Denmark 3–1 Finland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Jan 2023 Finland 0–1 Estonia A ITL · Friendly
823 matches · page 1 / 21 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
☆ 12 Nov 19:45 Albania vs Finland – / – / – 26.9% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
☆ 15 Nov 17:00 Finland vs San Marino Calcio – / – / – — ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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