Livingston
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 518 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Livingston drew 123 where the draw model expected 125.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 05 Apr 2016 → 28 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 29 Mar 2008 → 01 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 21 | 11 Jan 2006 → 12 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 15 May 2022 → 15 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 15 Jan 2011 → 29 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 28 Jan 2012 → 21 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 16 Dec 2006 → 10 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Sep 2013 → 07 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 02 Jan 2005 → 05 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 14 Mar 2000 → 12 Aug 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 448 | 116 | 25.9% | 1 | 19 |
| Scottish Championship | 441 | 106 | 24.0% | 2 | 18 |
| Scottish League One | 144 | 32 | 22.2% | 11 | 21 |
| Scottish League Cup | 99 | 15 | 15.2% | 0 | 10 |
| Scottish Cup | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 0 | 3 |
| Scottish League Two | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 3 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2025 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 5 |
| 2023 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2022 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 16 |
| 2021 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2020 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 11 |
| 2019 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 9 |
| 2018 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2016 | 42 | 4 | 9.5% | 29 |
| 2015 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 11 |
| 2014 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 8 |
| 2013 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 12 |
| 2012 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 14 |
| 2011 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 15 |
| 2010 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2009 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2008 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 21 |
| 2007 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2006 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 21 |
| 2005 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 12 |
| 2004 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 11 |
| 2003 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2002 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 7 |
| 2001 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2000 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 1999 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1998 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Livingston
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Dunfermline Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Livingston
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 19:30 |
Stenhousemuir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.