☆
· SCO · Scottish League Two
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
1,042
Draw %
20.1%
No-draw N
6
Max streak
25
23 Apr 2016 → 17 Dec 2016
Avg top run
19.8
top 10
Draw debt E
1.45
p50
26.0%
p100
23.0%
Draw score
0.255
rank #547
Draws
209
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,375
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,500
reached 5 Aug 2000
Rank
#14,530
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,042
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 477 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Elgin City drew 94 where the draw model expected 105.0 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 101.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 25
23 Apr 2016 → 17 Dec 2016
2 23
14 Mar 2006 → 28 Oct 2006
3 22
01 Feb 2025 → 09 Aug 2025
4 22
11 Aug 2018 → 19 Jan 2019
5 22
13 Mar 2010 → 25 Sep 2010
6 20
11 Nov 2006 → 31 Mar 2007
7 16
28 Oct 2023 → 10 Feb 2024
8 16
10 Oct 2020 → 23 Mar 2021
9 16
02 Apr 2011 → 01 Oct 2011
10 16
17 Apr 2004 → 16 Oct 2004
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 23 Apr 2016 → 17 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 14 Mar 2006 → 28 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 22 | 01 Feb 2025 → 09 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 22 | 11 Aug 2018 → 19 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 22 | 13 Mar 2010 → 25 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 20 | 11 Nov 2006 → 31 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 16 | 28 Oct 2023 → 10 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 16 | 10 Oct 2020 → 23 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 16 | 02 Apr 2011 → 01 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 16 | 17 Apr 2004 → 16 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 924 | 198 | 21.4% | 6 | 22 |
| Scottish League Cup | 60 | 2 | 3.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 58 | 9 | 15.5% | 2 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2025 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 22 |
| 2024 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 9 |
| 2022 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2021 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 24 | 0 | 0.0% | 14 |
| 2019 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2018 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 19 |
| 2017 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 2016 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 25 |
| 2015 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2014 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2013 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2011 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 16 |
| 2010 | 40 | 4 | 10.0% | 22 |
| 2009 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2008 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2007 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 13 |
| 2006 | 40 | 2 | 5.0% | 23 |
| 2005 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2004 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 16 |
| 2003 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2002 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2001 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 9 |
| 2000 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
Matches
all results ›
1,042 matches · page 1 / 27
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Upcoming fixtures
all fixtures ›
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Cup
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Wed, 23 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
|
||||||
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 |
Elgin City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 18:00 | Stirling University | vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Kelty Hearts
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Elgin City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Stirling Albion
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Stranraer
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.5% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec 15:00 |
Elgin City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 12 Dec 15:00 |
Clyde
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.6% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 19 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 19 Dec 15:00 |
Elgin City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Wed, 23 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Dec 19:45 |
Elgin City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.5% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.