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· SCO · Scottish Cup
Team ☆
all results ›
SCO · Club
Brechin City
Brechin City
Played
971
Draw %
22.0%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
23
10 Mar 2009 → 17 Oct 2009
Avg top run
16.4
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
18.0%
p100
18.0%
Draw score
0.058
rank #1,903
Draws
214
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,366
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,595
reached 29 Jan 2005
Rank
#14,541
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
971
last 3 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 281 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Brechin City drew 51 where the draw model expected 59.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 62.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 23
10 Mar 2009 → 17 Oct 2009
2 19
27 Aug 2016 → 28 Jan 2017
3 18
14 Apr 2001 → 20 Oct 2001
4 17
06 Oct 2018 → 23 Feb 2019
5 17
13 Jan 2018 → 28 Apr 2018
6 16
20 Feb 2016 → 23 Jul 2016
7 15
23 Nov 2004 → 26 Feb 2005
8 13
14 Dec 2013 → 01 Mar 2014
9 13
13 Feb 2010 → 17 Apr 2010
10 13
16 Feb 1999 → 08 May 1999
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 10 Mar 2009 → 17 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 27 Aug 2016 → 28 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 14 Apr 2001 → 20 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 06 Oct 2018 → 23 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 13 Jan 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 20 Feb 2016 → 23 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 23 Nov 2004 → 26 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 14 Dec 2013 → 01 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 13 Feb 2010 → 17 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 16 Feb 1999 → 08 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 540 | 127 | 23.5% | 0 | 21 |
| Scottish League Two | 193 | 37 | 19.2% | 1 | 17 |
| Scottish Championship | 108 | 24 | 22.2% | 16 | 16 |
| Scottish Cup | 65 | 17 | 26.2% | 0 | 4 |
| Scottish League Cup | 62 | 8 | 12.9% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2020 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 12 |
| 2019 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2018 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 17 |
| 2017 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 16 |
| 2015 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2014 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2013 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2012 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2011 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2010 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 13 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 23 |
| 2008 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2007 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 9 |
| 2006 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2005 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2004 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2003 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 10 |
| 2002 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 36 | 3 | 8.3% | 18 |
| 2000 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 1999 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 13 |
| 1998 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
Matches
all results ›
971 matches · page 1 / 25
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Upcoming fixtures
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Sat, 24 Oct 2026
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– / – / – | 19.6% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.