☆
· SCO · Scottish Championship
Team ☆
all results ›
SCO · Club
Arbroath
Arbroath FC
Played
1,154
Draw %
24.0%
No-draw N
5
Max streak
19
18 Mar 2006 → 21 Oct 2006
Avg top run
16.6
top 10
Draw debt E
1.35
p50
30.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.260
rank #523
Draws
277
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,567
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,707
reached 23 Jul 2022
Rank
#725
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,154
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 479 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Arbroath drew 127 where the draw model expected 116.7 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 113.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
22 Jul 2023 → 16 Dec 2023
2 19
18 Mar 2006 → 21 Oct 2006
3 18
06 Apr 2013 → 02 Nov 2013
4 18
09 Nov 2002 → 18 Mar 2003
5 17
04 Oct 2008 → 21 Feb 2009
6 17
28 Apr 2001 → 10 Nov 2001
7 16
16 Nov 2024 → 08 Mar 2025
8 14
27 Feb 2024 → 20 Jul 2024
9 14
24 Nov 2007 → 01 Mar 2008
10 14
15 Oct 2005 → 28 Jan 2006
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 22 Jul 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 18 Mar 2006 → 21 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 06 Apr 2013 → 02 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 09 Nov 2002 → 18 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 04 Oct 2008 → 21 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 28 Apr 2001 → 10 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 16 | 16 Nov 2024 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 27 Feb 2024 → 20 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 24 Nov 2007 → 01 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 15 Oct 2005 → 28 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 468 | 119 | 25.4% | 0 | 16 |
| Scottish League Two | 288 | 61 | 21.2% | 0 | 19 |
| Scottish Championship | 279 | 77 | 27.6% | 5 | 17 |
| Scottish League Cup | 66 | 12 | 18.2% | 4 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2024 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 14 |
| 2023 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 19 |
| 2022 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 8 |
| 2021 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 5 |
| 2020 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 6 |
| 2019 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2018 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2017 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2016 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2015 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2014 | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | 12 |
| 2013 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 18 |
| 2012 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 5 |
| 2011 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2010 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 5 |
| 2008 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2007 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2006 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 19 |
| 2005 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2004 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2003 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2002 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2001 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 17 |
| 2000 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 1999 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 1998 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 1997 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 7 |
Matches
all results ›
1,154 matches · page 1 / 29
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Livingston
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Arbroath
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Arbroath
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Dunfermline Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Arbroath
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.