☆
· SCO · Scottish League Two
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
1,188
Draw %
20.4%
No-draw N
18
Max streak
19
16 Dec 1995 → 04 May 1996
Avg top run
16.2
top 10
Draw debt E
3.92
p50
20.0%
p100
23.0%
Draw score
0.655
rank #7
Draws
242
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,320
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,568
reached 2 Aug 2014
Rank
#14,570
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,188
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 474 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Dumbarton drew 106 where the draw model expected 109.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 109.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
16 Dec 1995 → 04 May 1996
2 18
11 Apr 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
3 18
01 Mar 2014 → 30 Aug 2014
4 17
20 Oct 2012 → 23 Feb 2013
5 17
06 Nov 2007 → 01 Mar 2008
6 16
13 Mar 1999 → 18 Sep 1999
7 15
25 Sep 2010 → 05 Feb 2011
8 15
13 Aug 1995 → 02 Dec 1995
9 14
18 Oct 2014 → 24 Jan 2015
10 13
08 Apr 2021 → 31 Jul 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 16 Dec 1995 → 04 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 11 Apr 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 01 Mar 2014 → 30 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 20 Oct 2012 → 23 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 06 Nov 2007 → 01 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 13 Mar 1999 → 18 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 25 Sep 2010 → 05 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 13 Aug 1995 → 02 Dec 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 18 Oct 2014 → 24 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 08 Apr 2021 → 31 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 410 | 86 | 21.0% | 2 | 14 |
| Scottish League Two | 406 | 92 | 22.7% | 14 | 16 |
| Scottish Championship | 252 | 47 | 18.7% | 12 | 19 |
| Scottish League Cup | 65 | 10 | 15.4% | 4 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 54 | 7 | 13.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 18 |
| 2025 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 2024 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 9 |
| 2023 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2022 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 8 |
| 2021 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 13 |
| 2020 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2018 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 12 |
| 2017 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2016 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2015 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 18 |
| 2013 | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | 11 |
| 2012 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2011 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2010 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 9 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 8 |
| 2007 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2006 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| 2005 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 2004 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 13 |
| 2003 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2002 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 7 |
| 2000 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 1999 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 16 |
| 1998 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 1997 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1996 | 18 | 0 | 0.0% | 18 |
| 1995 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 15 |
Matches
all results ›
1,188 matches · page 1 / 30
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Upcoming fixtures
all fixtures ›
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Cup
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 26 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
|
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| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 |
Dumbarton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Dumbarton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Edinburgh City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Elgin City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Dumbarton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Spartans
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.6% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec 15:00 |
Dumbarton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 12 Dec 15:00 |
Dumbarton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 19 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 19 Dec 15:00 |
Forfar Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 26 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 26 Dec 15:00 |
Dumbarton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.6% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.