☆
· SCO · Scottish League Two
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
1,200
Draw %
23.5%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
30
31 Jan 2015 → 07 Nov 2015
Avg top run
18.5
top 10
Draw debt E
0.29
p50
32.0%
p100
27.0%
Draw score
0.115
rank #1,398
Draws
282
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,435
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,563
reached 30 Oct 2004
Rank
#14,327
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,200
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 470 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Stranraer drew 103 where the draw model expected 109.3 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 103.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 30
31 Jan 2015 → 07 Nov 2015
2 28
13 Dec 1997 → 19 Sep 1998
3 24
30 Aug 2003 → 21 Feb 2004
4 19
19 Mar 2016 → 15 Oct 2016
5 17
13 Jan 2018 → 14 Jul 2018
6 15
05 Mar 2022 → 06 Aug 2022
7 14
03 Oct 1998 → 02 Jan 1999
8 13
18 Feb 2012 → 04 Aug 2012
9 13
16 Jan 1999 → 08 May 1999
10 12
26 Aug 2023 → 25 Nov 2023
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 31 Jan 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 28 | 13 Dec 1997 → 19 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 24 | 30 Aug 2003 → 21 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 19 Mar 2016 → 15 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 13 Jan 2018 → 14 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 05 Mar 2022 → 06 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 03 Oct 1998 → 02 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 18 Feb 2012 → 04 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 16 Jan 1999 → 08 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 26 Aug 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 567 | 143 | 25.2% | 3 | 27 |
| Scottish League Two | 392 | 93 | 23.7% | 1 | 21 |
| Scottish Championship | 108 | 21 | 19.4% | 0 | 14 |
| Scottish League Cup | 67 | 10 | 14.9% | 2 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 66 | 15 | 22.7% | 0 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 8 |
| 2025 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 12 |
| 2022 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 15 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% | 3 |
| 2019 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2018 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 17 |
| 2017 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2016 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 19 |
| 2015 | 40 | 3 | 7.5% | 30 |
| 2014 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 5 |
| 2012 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2011 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 10 |
| 2010 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2007 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2006 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2005 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 9 |
| 2004 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2003 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 16 |
| 2002 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2001 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2000 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 1999 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 13 |
| 1998 | 39 | 1 | 2.6% | 25 |
| 1997 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
| 1995 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 9 |
| 1994 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
Matches
all results ›
1,200 matches · page 1 / 30
‹ prev
next ›
Upcoming fixtures
all fixtures ›
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Cup
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
Sat, 26 Dec 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Two
|
||||||
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 |
Spartans
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Stranraer
|
vs | Tayport | – / – / – | 22.8% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Stranraer
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Stranraer
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Kelty Hearts
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.5% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Stranraer
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.6% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec 15:00 |
Dumbarton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 12 Dec 15:00 |
Stranraer
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 19 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 19 Dec 15:00 |
Edinburgh City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
| Sat, 26 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 26 Dec 15:00 |
Stranraer
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% | SCO · Scottish League Two |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.