Dunfermline Athletic
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 488 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Dunfermline Athletic drew 130 where the draw model expected 123.0 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 119.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 13 Mar 2010 → 16 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 19 Oct 2019 → 29 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 07 Dec 1996 → 15 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 23 Aug 2005 → 03 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 16 Apr 2016 → 24 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 11 Apr 2015 → 22 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 14 Dec 2013 → 01 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 26 Dec 2012 → 02 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 13 May 1995 → 28 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 07 May 2012 → 29 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 602 | 171 | 28.4% | 2 | 20 |
| Scottish Premiership | 412 | 111 | 26.9% | 2 | 17 |
| Scottish League One | 144 | 34 | 23.6% | 2 | 12 |
| Scottish League Cup | 88 | 9 | 10.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 72 | 18 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 6 |
| 2025 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2024 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 10 |
| 2021 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 12 |
| 2018 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2017 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 15 |
| 2015 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 15 |
| 2014 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 10 |
| 2012 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2011 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 6 |
| 2010 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 23 |
| 2009 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2008 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2007 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2006 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2005 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 16 |
| 2004 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2002 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 8 |
| 2001 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2000 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 1999 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 38 | 18 | 47.4% | 4 |
| 1997 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 11 |
| 1996 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1995 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 1994 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 1969 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1964 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1962 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1961 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Ayr United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Dunfermline Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Dunfermline Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Queen's Park
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Stenhousemuir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Dunfermline Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:30 |
Raith Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.