W Finnie
Over 223 matches (Aug 2018 – Oct 2026), W Finnie drew 62 where the draw model expected 62.1 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 60.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 92 | 24 | 26.1% |
| ENG · League Two | 81 | 21 | 25.9% |
| ENG · Championship | 25 | 8 | 32.0% |
| ENG · National League | 25 | 9 | 36.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| 2025/26 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% |
| 2024/25 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% |
| 2023/24 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% |
| 2022/23 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% |
| 2021/22 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% |
| 2020/21 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2019/20 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% |
| 2018/19 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Stevenage | 0–1 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Accrington Stanley | 3–1 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Northampton Town | 0–1 | Rotherham United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Millwall | 4–0 | Bolton Wanderers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City | 0–0 | Blackburn Rovers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7–2 | Bromley | H | ENG · League One |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Birmingham City | 2–2 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Portsmouth | 1–3 | Queens Park Rangers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 02 May 2026 | Swansea City | 3–1 | Charlton Athletic | H | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Rochdale | 1–1 | York City | D | ENG · National League |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Oldham Athletic | 1–2 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2–1 | Bromley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–2 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Huddersfield Town | 1–1 | Reading | D | ENG · League One |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Harrogate Town | 0–2 | Notts County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Charlton Athletic | 0–1 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Blackpool | 3–2 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Colchester United | 0–0 | Crawley Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Barnsley | 1–1 | Cardiff City | D | ENG · League One |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Swansea City | 1–0 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Chesterfield | 1–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Lincoln City | 1–1 | Bolton Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Port Vale | 2–2 | Burton Albion | D | ENG · League One |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Bristol Rovers | 3–0 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–1 | Mansfield Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Oxford United | 0–0 | Queens Park Rangers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Wrexham | 1–2 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Cardiff City | 1–0 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Ipswich Town | 2–1 | Oxford United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Huddersfield Town | 2–0 | Northampton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–2 | Bristol City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Leyton Orient | 2–1 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Stockport County | 1–3 | Stevenage | A | ENG · League One |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Exeter City | 1–0 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 27 Nov 2025 | Grimsby Town | 1–2 | Tranmere Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Wealdstone | 1–1 | Forest Green Rovers | D | ENG · National League |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Boreham Wood | 1–2 | Tamworth | A | ENG · National League |
| 03 May 2025 | Norwich City | 4–2 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Burton Albion | 2–1 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Wycombe Wanderers | 0–4 | Charlton Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 2–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | D | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Salford City | 2–2 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Barnsley | 1–2 | Exeter City | A | ENG · League One |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Leyton Orient | 1–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Bradford City | 4–1 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Mansfield Town | 0–0 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 28 Feb 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 1–2 | Sunderland | A | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Coventry City | 1–0 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Hull City | 1–2 | Stoke City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Burton Albion | 3–2 | Reading | H | ENG · League One |