▦ FDB4
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Match official

Scott Mathieson

2000–2015 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: Mathieson, S. W., S Mathieson, S W Mathieson, S. W. Mathieson
Matches 416
Draws 130
Draw % 31.3% +6.9 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 416 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2015), Scott Mathieson drew 130 where the draw model expected 115.8 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 113.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 143 43 30.1%
ENG · League Two 138 41 29.7%
ENG · League One 135 46 34.1%
By season 14 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2014/15 15 9 60.0%
2013/14 29 9 31.0%
2011/12 37 12 32.4%
2010/11 30 8 26.7%
2009/10 27 9 33.3%
2008/09 35 8 22.9%
2007/08 30 11 36.7%
2006/07 33 6 18.2%
2005/06 29 12 41.4%
2004/05 31 13 41.9%
2003/04 29 7 24.1%
2002/03 33 7 21.2%
2001/02 27 12 44.4%
2000/01 31 7 22.6%
Latest matches last 50

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