S Allison
Over 240 matches (Aug 2016 – Oct 2026), S Allison drew 56 where the draw model expected 65.3 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 64.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · National League | 72 | 18 | 25.0% |
| ENG · Championship | 66 | 9 | 13.6% |
| ENG · League One | 52 | 11 | 21.2% |
| ENG · League Two | 46 | 17 | 37.0% |
| ENG · Premier League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| 2025/26 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% |
| 2024/25 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| 2023/24 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| 2022/23 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% |
| 2021/22 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% |
| 2020/21 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2019/20 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| 2018/19 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% |
| 2017/18 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% |
| 2016/17 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Queens Park Rangers | 5–0 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Birmingham City | 4–0 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Southampton | 4–1 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Sep 2026 | Cardiff City | 1–1 | Stoke City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth | 0–2 | Derby County | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Millwall | 3–0 | Norwich City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Leyton Orient | 1–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · League One |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Coventry City | 3–1 | Wrexham | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Derby County | 1–0 | Oxford United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Leicester City | 0–1 | Swansea City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Millwall | 1–2 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Sheffield United | 1–2 | Wrexham | A | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Portsmouth | 0–1 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Feb 2026 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–1 | Charlton Athletic | D | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Bradford City | 2–0 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Oxford United | 0–3 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Stockport County | 2–1 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Southampton | 1–2 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Queens Park Rangers | 3–0 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Oldham Athletic | 1–1 | Chesterfield | D | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Coventry City | 1–0 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 2–0 | Millwall | H | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Southampton | 3–2 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Portsmouth | 0–1 | Bristol City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Leyton Orient | 1–1 | Blackpool | D | ENG · League One |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2–1 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 1–4 | Ipswich Town | A | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Stevenage | 1–1 | Bradford City | D | ENG · League One |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Coventry City | 2–0 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Oct 2025 | Norwich City | 0–1 | West Bromwich Albion | A | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Bristol Rovers | 2–1 | Barrow | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Portsmouth | 1–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Huddersfield Town | 1–2 | Cambridge United | A | ENG · League One |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Sheffield United | 0–1 | Millwall | A | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Cardiff City | 1–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | D | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Mar 2025 | Bristol City | 2–1 | Norwich City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Derby County | 2–0 | Coventry City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Port Vale | 0–0 | Harrogate Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Luton Town | 1–0 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Feb 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 2–0 | Oxford United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 2–0 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Feb 2025 | Burnley | 2–0 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Swansea City | 0–2 | Coventry City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 0–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Derby County | 0–1 | Sunderland | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–1 | Oxford United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Swansea City | 1–1 | West Bromwich Albion | D | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Watford | 1–2 | Cardiff City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2–0 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Dec 2024 | Reading | 3–0 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League One |