▦ FDB4
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Match official

R Jones

2014–2026 · 5 competitions
Matches 309
Draws 72
Draw % 23.3% -1.0 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 309 matches (Aug 2014 – Oct 2026), R Jones drew 72 where the draw model expected 82.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 81.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 114 27 23.7%
ENG · Championship 103 27 26.2%
ENG · National League 37 7 18.9%
ENG · League Two 29 6 20.7%
ENG · League One 26 5 19.2%
By season 13 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 6 1 16.7%
2025/26 21 4 19.0%
2024/25 25 11 44.0%
2023/24 24 5 20.8%
2022/23 29 4 13.8%
2021/22 21 7 33.3%
2020/21 17 5 29.4%
2019/20 27 8 29.6%
2018/19 31 6 19.4%
2017/18 36 7 19.4%
2016/17 35 7 20.0%
2015/16 21 5 23.8%
2014/15 16 2 12.5%
Latest matches last 50

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