Match official

Paul Tierney

2007–2026 · 5 competitions
Also recorded as: P Tierney
Matches 434
Draws 109
Draw % 25.1% +0.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5

Over 434 matches (Aug 2007 – Oct 2026), Paul Tierney drew 109 where the draw model expected 112.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 114.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 199 47 23.6%
ENG · Championship 99 27 27.3%
ENG · League Two 59 17 28.8%
ENG · League One 58 13 22.4%
ENG · National League 19 5 26.3%
By season 18 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 6 1 16.7%
2025/26 22 7 31.8%
2023/24 26 5 19.2%
2022/23 31 6 19.4%
2021/22 27 7 25.9%
2020/21 23 9 39.1%
2019/20 27 5 18.5%
2018/19 27 1 3.7%
2017/18 27 6 22.2%
2016/17 24 7 29.2%
2015/16 34 13 38.2%
2014/15 30 8 26.7%
2013/14 29 9 31.0%
2011/12 32 8 25.0%
2010/11 29 5 17.2%
2009/10 21 7 33.3%
2008/09 12 4 33.3%
2007/08 7 1 14.3%
Latest matches last 50