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Match official

Matt Messias

2000–2006 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: M Messias, M. D. Messias, Messias, M. D.
Matches 139
Draws 43
Draw % 30.9% +6.6 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 139 matches (Aug 2000 – Jan 2006), Matt Messias drew 43 where the draw model expected 38.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 37.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 45 20 44.4%
ENG · Championship 43 12 27.9%
ENG · League One 32 6 18.8%
ENG · League Two 19 5 26.3%
By season 6 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2005/06 14 4 28.6%
2004/05 17 9 52.9%
2003/04 22 8 36.4%
2002/03 29 8 27.6%
2001/02 28 9 32.1%
2000/01 29 5 17.2%
Latest matches last 50

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