▦ FDB4
Referee all referees ›
Match official

M Naylor

2007–2014 · 4 competitions
Matches 107
Draws 29
Draw % 27.1% +2.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 107 matches (Aug 2007 – May 2014), M Naylor drew 29 where the draw model expected 29.4 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 28.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 31 10 32.3%
ENG · League Two 29 5 17.2%
ENG · Championship 26 9 34.6%
ENG · League One 21 5 23.8%
By season 6 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2013/14 29 7 24.1%
2011/12 26 7 26.9%
2010/11 21 5 23.8%
2009/10 10 3 30.0%
2008/09 10 4 40.0%
2007/08 11 3 27.3%
Latest matches last 50

We use a session cookie to run the site and, if you allow it, Google Analytics to see which pages are used. No ads, no tracking across sites. Cookie policy