▦ FDB4
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Match official

Lee Probert

2002–2019 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: L Probert, Probert, L
Matches 421
Draws 105
Draw % 24.9% +0.6 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 421 matches (Apr 2002 – May 2019), Lee Probert drew 105 where the draw model expected 112.7 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 111.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 182 43 23.6%
ENG · Championship 117 30 25.6%
ENG · League One 66 16 24.2%
ENG · League Two 56 16 28.6%
By season 16 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2018/19 28 9 32.1%
2017/18 26 6 23.1%
2016/17 24 8 33.3%
2014/15 16 5 31.3%
2013/14 29 6 20.7%
2012/13 24 7 29.2%
2011/12 28 8 28.6%
2010/11 29 8 27.6%
2009/10 31 6 19.4%
2008/09 32 6 18.8%
2007/08 34 7 20.6%
2006/07 31 10 32.3%
2005/06 34 11 32.4%
2004/05 29 2 6.9%
2003/04 25 6 24.0%
2001/02 1 0 0.0%
Latest matches last 50

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