L Mason
Over 505 matches (Aug 2002 – May 2021), L Mason drew 141 where the draw model expected 129.5 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 132.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Premier League | 288 | 68 | 23.6% |
| ENG · Championship | 114 | 41 | 36.0% |
| ENG · League One | 58 | 19 | 32.8% |
| ENG · League Two | 45 | 13 | 28.9% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020/21 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% |
| 2019/20 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% |
| 2018/19 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% |
| 2017/18 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
| 2016/17 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% |
| 2015/16 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| 2014/15 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| 2013/14 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| 2012/13 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% |
| 2011/12 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| 2010/11 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% |
| 2009/10 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% |
| 2008/09 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% |
| 2007/08 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% |
| 2006/07 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% |
| 2005/06 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% |
| 2004/05 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% |
| 2003/04 | 26 | 10 | 38.5% |
| 2002/03 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May 2021 | Manchester United | 1–1 | Fulham | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 May 2021 | Brentford | 2–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2021 | Coventry City | 2–0 | Barnsley | H | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Huddersfield Town | 0–0 | Rotherham United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Apr 2021 | Barrow | 2–1 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Feb 2021 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–0 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Feb 2021 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–1 | Birmingham City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Southampton | 0–1 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Jan 2021 | Manchester City | 4–0 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Dec 2020 | West Bromwich Albion | 0–5 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Dec 2020 | Burnley | 2–1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Dec 2020 | Leicester City | 0–2 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Nov 2020 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Nov 2020 | Wycombe Wanderers | 0–0 | Brentford | D | ENG · Championship |
| 31 Oct 2020 | Middlesbrough | 1–0 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Oct 2020 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–1 | Newcastle United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Oct 2020 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Sep 2020 | Leicester City | 4–2 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Jul 2020 | Manchester City | 2–1 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Jul 2020 | Everton | 1–1 | Southampton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Jun 2020 | Leicester City | 0–0 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Feb 2020 | Arsenal | 4–0 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Feb 2020 | Leicester City | 2–2 | Chelsea | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Jan 2020 | Sheffield United | 0–1 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 Jan 2020 | Leicester City | 1–2 | Southampton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Dec 2019 | Newcastle United | 1–2 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Dec 2019 | Watford | 2–0 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Dec 2019 | Stoke City | 0–0 | Reading | D | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Nov 2019 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3–2 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Nov 2019 | Aston Villa | 2–0 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Nov 2019 | Manchester City | 2–1 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Oct 2019 | Bournemouth | 0–0 | Norwich City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2019 | Sheffield Wednesday | 1–0 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Sep 2019 | Aston Villa | 2–2 | Burnley | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Sep 2019 | Sheffield United | 0–1 | Southampton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Aug 2019 | Bristol City | 2–2 | Middlesbrough | D | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Aug 2019 | Everton | 1–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 May 2019 | Huddersfield Town | 1–1 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Apr 2019 | Crystal Palace | 0–0 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Apr 2019 | Carlisle United | 1–0 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Apr 2019 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4–0 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Apr 2019 | Sheffield Wednesday | 3–0 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Mar 2019 | Leicester City | 2–0 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Mar 2019 | Newcastle United | 3–2 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Mar 2019 | Aston Villa | 4–0 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Feb 2019 | West Ham United | 3–1 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Feb 2019 | Notts County | 1–0 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Feb 2019 | West Bromwich Albion | 2–2 | Nottingham Forest | D | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Feb 2019 | Everton | 1–3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Jan 2019 | Cardiff City | 0–0 | Huddersfield Town | D | ENG · Premier League |