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Match official

L Collins

2010–2022 · 4 competitions
Matches 179
Draws 45
Draw % 25.1% +0.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 179 matches (Aug 2010 – Aug 2022), L Collins drew 45 where the draw model expected 48.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 48.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 80 22 27.5%
ENG · League One 54 14 25.9%
ENG · National League 39 8 20.5%
ENG · Championship 6 1 16.7%
By season 12 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2022/23 2 1 50.0%
2021/22 10 3 30.0%
2020/21 4 1 25.0%
2019/20 9 0 0.0%
2018/19 22 7 31.8%
2017/18 13 3 23.1%
2016/17 10 1 10.0%
2015/16 22 5 22.7%
2014/15 25 5 20.0%
2013/14 24 7 29.2%
2011/12 24 9 37.5%
2010/11 14 3 21.4%
Latest matches last 50

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