Jj Smith
Over 226 matches (Aug 2001 – Oct 2026), Jj Smith drew 52 where the draw model expected 62.5 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 61.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 136 | 30 | 22.1% |
| ENG · League One | 33 | 7 | 21.2% |
| ENG · League Two | 21 | 7 | 33.3% |
| ENG · National League | 21 | 4 | 19.0% |
| ENG · Premier League | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| SCO · Scottish Championship | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| SCO · Scottish League One | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| SCO · Scottish League Two | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| 2025/26 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% |
| 2024/25 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| 2023/24 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% |
| 2022/23 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% |
| 2021/22 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% |
| 2020/21 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% |
| 2019/20 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% |
| 2018/19 | 21 | 4 | 19.0% |
| 2001/02 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Swansea City | 0–1 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Sheffield United | 3–0 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–0 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers | 3–1 | Millwall | H | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United | 1–3 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Coventry City | 0–1 | Hull City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Burnley | 2–2 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 02 May 2026 | Hull City | 2–1 | Norwich City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Stoke City | 1–3 | Millwall | A | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Preston North End | 0–2 | West Bromwich Albion | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Southampton | 3–0 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Portsmouth | 2–2 | Oxford United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Watford | 0–0 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Mar 2026 | West Bromwich Albion | 3–0 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Mar 2026 | Queens Park Rangers | 0–4 | Middlesbrough | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Sheffield United | 2–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Derby County | 1–2 | Ipswich Town | A | ENG · Championship |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Queens Park Rangers | 2–1 | Coventry City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Hull City | 2–1 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Jan 2026 | West Bromwich Albion | 2–3 | Middlesbrough | A | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Charlton Athletic | 1–1 | Coventry City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Leicester City | 1–2 | Watford | A | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Middlesbrough | 3–1 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 1–1 | Norwich City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Derby County | 1–3 | Leicester City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Bristol City | 3–0 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Stockport County | 0–3 | Luton Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Norwich City | 0–2 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Ipswich Town | 1–0 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Southampton | 0–0 | Swansea City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Hull City | 2–2 | Preston North End | D | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Millwall | 1–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Leicester City | 2–0 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Southampton | 1–2 | Stoke City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Sheffield United | 1–4 | Bristol City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Colchester United | 1–0 | Notts County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Mar 2025 | Hull City | 2–1 | Oxford United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Lincoln City | 4–1 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 1–2 | Coventry City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 2–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 2–1 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 27 Jan 2025 | Burnley | 0–0 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Jan 2025 | Portsmouth | 3–1 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Sheffield United | 2–0 | Norwich City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Middlesbrough | 0–0 | Burnley | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Preston North End | 1–0 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Stoke City | 2–2 | Cardiff City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Dec 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–1 | Blackburn Rovers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Dec 2024 | Leicester City | 3–1 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |