▦ FDB4
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Match official

J Oldham

2018–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 159
Draws 38
Draw % 23.9% -0.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 159 matches (Aug 2018 – Oct 2026), J Oldham drew 38 where the draw model expected 43.9 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 42.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 65 18 27.7%
ENG · League One 53 11 20.8%
ENG · National League 41 9 22.0%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 8 1 12.5%
2025/26 21 8 38.1%
2024/25 18 6 33.3%
2023/24 6 2 33.3%
2022/23 21 6 28.6%
2021/22 22 3 13.6%
2020/21 23 5 21.7%
2019/20 23 3 13.0%
2018/19 17 4 23.5%
Latest matches last 50

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