J Brooks
Over 298 matches (Aug 2014 – Oct 2026), J Brooks drew 95 where the draw model expected 79.3 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 79.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 104 | 35 | 33.7% |
| ENG · Premier League | 79 | 18 | 22.8% |
| ENG · League One | 47 | 17 | 36.2% |
| ENG · National League | 35 | 15 | 42.9% |
| ENG · League Two | 33 | 10 | 30.3% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| 2025/26 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% |
| 2024/25 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% |
| 2023/24 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% |
| 2022/23 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% |
| 2021/22 | 16 | 8 | 50.0% |
| 2020/21 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% |
| 2019/20 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% |
| 2018/19 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% |
| 2017/18 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% |
| 2016/17 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% |
| 2015/16 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% |
| 2014/15 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Brentford | 1–2 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Coventry City | 4–1 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Sunderland | 0–2 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Everton | 2–2 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Fulham | 2–3 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 May 2026 | Everton | 1–3 | Sunderland | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 May 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 May 2026 | Portsmouth | 1–1 | Birmingham City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Rotherham United | 1–1 | Reading | D | ENG · League One |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Sheffield United | 2–1 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 1–1 | Arsenal | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Manchester United | 3–2 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Chelsea | 2–0 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Newcastle United | 2–0 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–2 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 1–1 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa | 4–0 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Fulham | 3–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Arsenal | 2–0 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 1–1 | Queens Park Rangers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Bristol City | 1–3 | Oxford United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 May 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–2 | Liverpool | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 May 2025 | Newcastle United | 2–0 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Manchester United | 0–0 | Manchester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 2–2 | Bournemouth | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Manchester United | 0–2 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Manchester City | 3–1 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Jan 2025 | Manchester United | 3–1 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Bournemouth | 1–0 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Dec 2024 | Ipswich Town | 2–0 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Dec 2024 | West Ham United | 2–1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Dec 2024 | Manchester United | 4–0 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Manchester City | 0–4 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Newcastle United | 1–0 | Arsenal | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Everton | 1–1 | Fulham | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Liverpool | 2–1 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Sheffield United | 2–0 | Luton Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3–1 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Plymouth Argyle | 3–2 | Sunderland | H | ENG · Championship |
| 19 May 2024 | Manchester City | 3–1 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Manchester United | 1–1 | Burnley | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Manchester City | 5–1 | Luton Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–3 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Apr 2024 | West Ham United | 1–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 Mar 2024 | Chelsea | 3–2 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Mar 2024 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3–1 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Manchester City | 2–0 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Jan 2024 | Aston Villa | 1–3 | Newcastle United | A | ENG · Premier League |