Milton Keynes Dons
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 587 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Milton Keynes Dons drew 146 where the draw model expected 159.0 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 156.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 18 Aug 2009 → 01 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 14 Sep 2013 → 29 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 16 Dec 2023 → 17 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 17 Aug 2019 → 12 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 01 Jan 2019 → 12 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 21 Oct 2008 → 28 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 18 Feb 2006 → 29 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 22 Feb 2014 → 18 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 09 Aug 2008 → 11 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 12 Oct 2024 → 26 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 686 | 173 | 25.2% | 0 | 17 |
| League Two | 276 | 62 | 22.5% | 0 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 58 | 16 | 27.6% | 0 | 4 |
| League Cup | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | 1 | 4 |
| Championship | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 3 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 6 |
| 2025 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 11 |
| 2023 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2020 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2019 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 13 |
| 2018 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 11 |
| 2017 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2016 | 59 | 19 | 32.2% | 5 |
| 2015 | 55 | 11 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2013 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 18 |
| 2012 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 10 |
| 2010 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2009 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 19 |
| 2008 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 13 |
| 2007 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 10 |
| 2006 | 54 | 7 | 13.0% | 13 |
| 2005 | 51 | 21 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2004 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:30 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Blackpool
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Stevenage
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.