What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 469 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), RC Lens drew 122 where the draw model expected 131.1 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 132.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 05 Aug 2003 → 20 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 04 Oct 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 08 Nov 1997 → 25 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 05 Jan 2025 → 04 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 12 Mar 2023 → 13 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 12 May 2017 → 21 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 01 Aug 2008 → 24 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Oct 1998 → 09 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 23 Apr 2018 → 24 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 13 Feb 2017 → 01 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 885 | 259 | 29.3% | 1 | 19 |
| Ligue 2 | 332 | 103 | 31.0% | 4 | 14 |
| UEFA Europa League | 66 | 19 | 28.8% | 0 | 6 |
| Coupe de France | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Trophée des Champions | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 38 | 2 | 5.3% | 17 |
| 2024 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2023 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 14 |
| 2022 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 10 |
| 2020 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 14 |
| 2016 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 8 |
| 2015 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 2013 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 2007 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2005 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 4 |
| 2003 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 22 |
| 2002 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2001 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 5 |
| 2000 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 11 |
| 1999 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 1998 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 1997 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1996 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 1995 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 22 | 11 | 50.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:45 |
RC Lens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 16:45 |
RC Lens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 18:45 |
ES Troyes AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 19:00 |
Club Brugge KV
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 18:45 |
RC Lens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 20:05 |
Lille OSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 20:00 |
RC Lens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 19:45 |
RC Lens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Nov 20:00 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 20 Jan 2027 | ||||||
| 20 Jan 20:00 |
RC Lens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.