☆
· FRA · Ligue 1
Team ☆
all results ›
FRA · Club
Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois
Played
878
Draw %
28.9%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
22
26 Oct 2024 → 11 Feb 2025
Avg top run
12.3
top 10
Draw debt E
0.28
p50
32.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.124
rank #1,321
Draws
254
Trophies
🥉 1 × Third
(2023)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,793
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,920
reached 26 Oct 2024
Rank
#164
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
878
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 465 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Stade Brestois drew 126 where the draw model expected 129.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 131.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 22
26 Oct 2024 → 11 Feb 2025
2 16
15 Aug 2008 → 19 Dec 2008
3 14
23 Aug 2020 → 13 Dec 2020
4 14
26 Feb 2010 → 07 Aug 2010
5 11
09 Mar 2013 → 26 May 2013
6 10
01 May 2009 → 31 Aug 2009
7 9
17 Aug 2024 → 06 Oct 2024
8 9
03 May 2023 → 26 Aug 2023
9 9
13 May 2012 → 29 Sep 2012
10 9
31 Oct 2005 → 16 Jan 2006
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 26 Oct 2024 → 11 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 15 Aug 2008 → 19 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 23 Aug 2020 → 13 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 26 Feb 2010 → 07 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 09 Mar 2013 → 26 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 01 May 2009 → 31 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 17 Aug 2024 → 06 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 03 May 2023 → 26 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 13 May 2012 → 29 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 31 Oct 2005 → 16 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 456 | 138 | 30.3% | 8 | 15 |
| Ligue 1 | 364 | 99 | 27.2% | 4 | 14 |
| Coupe de France | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 6 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 6 |
| 2025 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2024 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 11 |
| 2023 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 2022 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 7 |
| 2021 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 2019 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 8 |
| 2018 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2014 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2012 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2011 | 40 | 19 | 47.5% | 5 |
| 2010 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 14 |
| 2009 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2008 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 16 |
| 2007 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2006 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 4 |
| 2005 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 7 |
Matches
all results ›
878 matches · page 1 / 22
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 18:45 |
Lille OSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Oct 18:45 |
Stade Brestois
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 19:45 |
Lorient
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 16:15 |
Stade Brestois
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 19:45 |
RC Strasbourg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.