☆
· FRA · Ligue 1
Team ☆
all results ›
FRA · Club
ES Troyes AC
ES Troyes AC
Played
1,133
Draw %
26.1%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
21
02 Jan 2016 → 07 May 2016
Avg top run
14.4
top 10
Draw debt E
0.22
p50
24.0%
p100
21.0%
Draw score
0.106
rank #1,496
Draws
296
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,688
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,733
reached 29 Aug 2026
Rank
#317
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,133
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 450 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), ES Troyes AC drew 103 where the draw model expected 128.6 from those particular fixtures — about 26 fewer, or 2.7 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 132.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 21
02 Jan 2016 → 07 May 2016
2 17
06 Dec 2024 → 28 Mar 2025
3 16
30 Nov 2007 → 07 Apr 2008
4 16
29 May 1999 → 10 Nov 1999
5 14
22 Oct 2017 → 20 Jan 2018
6 13
22 Nov 2019 → 28 Feb 2020
7 13
25 Oct 2014 → 30 Jan 2015
8 12
03 Dec 1999 → 25 Mar 2000
9 11
04 Apr 2014 → 18 Aug 2014
10 11
16 Dec 2011 → 02 Mar 2012
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 02 Jan 2016 → 07 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 06 Dec 2024 → 28 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 30 Nov 2007 → 07 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 29 May 1999 → 10 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 22 Oct 2017 → 20 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 22 Nov 2019 → 28 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 25 Oct 2014 → 30 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 03 Dec 1999 → 25 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 04 Apr 2014 → 18 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 16 Dec 2011 → 02 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 674 | 177 | 26.3% | 5 | 15 |
| Ligue 1 | 412 | 111 | 26.9% | 5 | 18 |
| Coupe de France | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 14 |
| 2024 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2022 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2020 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 9 |
| 2017 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 21 |
| 2015 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2014 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2013 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2012 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2011 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 11 |
| 2010 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 2008 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2007 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2006 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2005 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2004 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2003 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 2002 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2001 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2000 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 1999 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 16 |
| 1998 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 7 |
| 1997 | 44 | 18 | 40.9% | 6 |
| 1996 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 5 |
Matches
all results ›
1,133 matches · page 1 / 29
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 18:45 |
ES Troyes AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 15:15 |
Toulouse
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 19:45 |
ES Troyes AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 19:45 |
Paris Saint-Germain
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.0% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Nov 19:45 |
ES Troyes AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.