☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
Team ☆
all results ›
GER · Club
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Played
600
Draw %
21.7%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
26
25 Feb 2023 → 27 Sep 2023
Avg top run
15.3
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
12.0%
p100
18.0%
Draw score
0.053
rank #1,919
Draws
130
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,980
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
2,145
reached 27 Sep 2023
Rank
#37
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
600
last 13 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 538 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), RB Leipzig drew 115 where the draw model expected 120.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 131.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 26
25 Feb 2023 → 27 Sep 2023
2 23
01 Mar 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
3 22
04 Oct 2015 → 15 Apr 2016
4 17
30 Sep 2016 → 25 Feb 2017
5 13
21 Oct 2023 → 16 Dec 2023
6 12
20 Jan 2021 → 10 Mar 2021
7 11
31 Oct 2018 → 09 Dec 2018
8 10
23 Nov 2024 → 15 Jan 2025
9 10
20 Aug 2022 → 05 Oct 2022
10 9
17 May 2025 → 27 Sep 2025
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 25 Feb 2023 → 27 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 01 Mar 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 22 | 04 Oct 2015 → 15 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 30 Sep 2016 → 25 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 21 Oct 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 20 Jan 2021 → 10 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 31 Oct 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 23 Nov 2024 → 15 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 20 Aug 2022 → 05 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 17 May 2025 → 27 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 345 | 82 | 23.8% | 16 | 20 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 68 | 18 | 26.5% | 2 | 21 |
| UEFA Champions League | 56 | 7 | 12.5% | 0 | 10 |
| DFB-Pokal | 49 | 5 | 10.2% | 1 | 9 |
| 3. Liga | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 4 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 | 5 |
| DFL-Supercup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 23 |
| 2025 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 51 | 6 | 11.8% | 26 |
| 2022 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 10 |
| 2021 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 2020 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 2019 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 7 |
| 2018 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 11 |
| 2017 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 2016 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2014 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
600 matches · page 1 / 15
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Upcoming fixtures
all fixtures ›
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Wed, 21 Oct 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Tue, 27 Oct 2026
☆
GER · DFB-Pokal
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Wed, 04 Nov 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Tue, 24 Nov 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sun, 29 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
|
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| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 16:30 |
FC Bayern München
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Oct 19:00 |
Real Madrid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 13:30 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.6% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 17:00 |
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 14:30 |
Schalke 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.5% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 04 Nov 20:00 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 14:30 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 14:30 |
1. FC Union Berlin
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Nov 20:00 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 29 Nov 14:30 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.