What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 118 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Georgia drew 29 where the draw model expected 24.2 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 07 Sep 1994 → 14 Jun 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 05 Mar 2014 → 11 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 27 May 2006 → 06 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 02 Jun 2021 → 25 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 30 Apr 2003 → 18 Aug 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 24 Mar 2018 → 16 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 28 Mar 2001 → 05 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 11 Oct 2011 → 11 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 17 Nov 2010 → 02 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 12 Aug 1998 → 20 Mar 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 115 | 26 | 22.6% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 80 | 13 | 16.3% | 0 | 10 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 70 | 17 | 24.3% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Nations League | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 0 | 4 |
| Malta International Tournament | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Cyprus International Tournament | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA European Championship | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2023 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2021 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2016 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2015 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 2010 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 1 |
| 2009 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2005 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2004 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2003 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 1999 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1997 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1996 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1995 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 18:45 | Hungary | vs | Georgia | – / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Mon, 05 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Oct 18:45 | Northern Ireland | vs | Georgia | – / – / – | 30.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.