VfL Bochum
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 435 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), VfL Bochum drew 120 where the draw model expected 111.2 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 114.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 01 Oct 2022 → 18 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 28 Jan 2021 → 09 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 11 Apr 2010 → 16 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 25 May 1994 → 08 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 16 Apr 2022 → 10 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 31 Oct 2010 → 06 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 03 Mar 2007 → 05 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 13 Aug 2017 → 24 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 10 Mar 2013 → 21 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 06 Feb 2002 → 12 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 588 | 157 | 26.7% | 1 | 15 |
| Bundesliga | 544 | 133 | 24.5% | 2 | 18 |
| DFB-Pokal | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 0 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 5 |
| 2025 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2024 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 11 |
| 2022 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2021 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2020 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 10 |
| 2019 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2018 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2017 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 11 |
| 2016 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 2015 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2013 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2012 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2010 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2009 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2008 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2007 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2006 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 6 |
| 2005 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2004 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2003 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2002 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 2001 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 6 |
| 1999 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 9 |
| 1998 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 9 |
| 1997 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 1996 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 1995 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 9 |
| 1994 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 1993 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 11:00 |
VfL Bochum
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 11:30 |
VfL Bochum
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:00 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 16:30 |
VfL Bochum
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 17:00 |
VfL Bochum
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 17:30 |
Energie Cottbus
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 12:30 |
VfL Bochum
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.