☆
· GER · Bundesliga
Team ☆
all results ›
GER · Club
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
Played
1,226
Draw %
27.9%
No-draw N
5
Max streak
25
12 May 2019 → 08 Feb 2020
Avg top run
14.7
top 10
Draw debt E
1.34
p50
28.0%
p100
26.0%
Draw score
0.261
rank #516
Draws
342
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,917
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,969
reached 7 Mar 2025
Rank
#62
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,226
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 460 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Mainz 05 drew 116 where the draw model expected 111.0 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 114.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 25
12 May 2019 → 08 Feb 2020
2 22
15 Aug 2010 → 29 Jan 2011
3 19
11 Apr 2015 → 27 Oct 2015
4 14
19 Jan 2019 → 27 Apr 2019
5 13
30 May 2020 → 31 Oct 2020
6 11
13 Sep 2025 → 20 Oct 2025
7 11
09 Nov 2024 → 31 Jan 2025
8 11
27 Oct 2012 → 18 Dec 2012
9 11
10 Nov 2002 → 23 Feb 2003
10 10
26 Nov 2021 → 05 Feb 2022
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 12 May 2019 → 08 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 15 Aug 2010 → 29 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 11 Apr 2015 → 27 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 19 Jan 2019 → 27 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 30 May 2020 → 31 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 13 Sep 2025 → 20 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 09 Nov 2024 → 31 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 27 Oct 2012 → 18 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 10 Nov 2002 → 23 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 26 Nov 2021 → 05 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 685 | 181 | 26.4% | 4 | 23 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 446 | 134 | 30.0% | 6 | 11 |
| DFB-Pokal | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 3 | 6 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 11 |
| 2024 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 6 |
| 2021 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 5 |
| 2020 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 13 |
| 2019 | 35 | 1 | 2.9% | 20 |
| 2018 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2015 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 19 |
| 2014 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 10 |
| 2013 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 9 |
| 2012 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2011 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2010 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 19 |
| 2009 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2008 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2007 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2006 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2005 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 6 |
| 2004 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2003 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2002 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 7 |
| 2001 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2000 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 1999 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 1998 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1997 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 1996 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1995 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1994 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 1993 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
Matches
all results ›
1,226 matches · page 1 / 31
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Wed, 21 Oct 2026
☆
ITL · Club Friendlies
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Tue, 27 Oct 2026
☆
GER · DFB-Pokal
Fri, 30 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Sun, 22 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 10 Apr 2027
☆
GER · Bundesliga
|
||||||
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 13:30 |
Schalke 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.6% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Oct 12:00 |
FC Liefering
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.5% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 13:30 |
Mainz 05
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 17:00 |
VfL Bochum
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 30 Oct 19:30 |
SV Elversberg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 14:30 |
Mainz 05
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 14:30 |
Augsburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.3% |
|
| Sat, 10 Apr 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 10 Apr |
Mainz 05
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.