TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Over 467 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), TSG 1899 Hoffenheim drew 125 where the draw model expected 106.0 from those particular fixtures — about 19 more, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 115.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 25 Oct 2014 → 14 Feb 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 05 Aug 2023 → 04 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 29 Aug 2009 → 28 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 21 Sep 2008 → 05 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 28 Jan 2023 → 09 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 25 Sep 2021 → 11 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 07 Dec 2019 → 15 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 17 Feb 2024 → 26 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 14 Apr 2018 → 15 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 16 Dec 2007 → 16 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 617 | 167 | 27.1% | 7 | 13 |
| DFB-Pokal | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 1 | 5 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 8 |
| 2025 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 2023 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 13 |
| 2022 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 11 |
| 2020 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 10 |
| 2017 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 5 |
| 2016 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 8 |
| 2015 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2014 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 10 |
| 2013 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2011 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 2010 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2009 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 13 |
| 2008 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 13 |
| 2007 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Thu, 15 Oct 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Europa League
Sun, 18 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Thu, 22 Oct 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Europa League
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
☆
GER · DFB-Pokal
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Thu, 05 Nov 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Europa League
Sun, 08 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 16 Jan 2027
☆
GER · Bundesliga
|
||||||
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 15 Oct 19:00 |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 15:30 |
M'gladbach
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 19:00 |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 14:30 |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 19:45 |
Holstein Kiel
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 14:30 |
Werder Bremen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 17:45 |
Crystal Palace
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 18:30 |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 14:30 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 16 Jan 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Jan |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.