☆
· GER · Bundesliga
Team ☆
all results ›
GER · Club
1. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin
Played
807
Draw %
28.5%
No-draw N
4
Max streak
19
06 May 2023 → 04 Nov 2023
Avg top run
10.9
top 10
Draw debt E
1.15
p50
30.0%
p100
28.0%
Draw score
0.260
rank #519
Draws
230
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,777
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
2,009
reached 23 Feb 2023
Rank
#184
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
807
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 464 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), 1. FC Union Berlin drew 129 where the draw model expected 116.3 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 118.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
06 May 2023 → 04 Nov 2023
2 15
08 Sep 2022 → 06 Nov 2022
3 13
31 Aug 2019 → 08 Dec 2019
4 9
23 Nov 2024 → 26 Jan 2025
5 9
13 Nov 2022 → 11 Feb 2023
6 9
15 Jan 2022 → 05 Mar 2022
7 9
17 Dec 2019 → 24 Feb 2020
8 9
16 Mar 2012 → 06 May 2012
9 9
09 May 2003 → 19 Sep 2003
10 8
16 Apr 2017 → 04 Aug 2017
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 06 May 2023 → 04 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 08 Sep 2022 → 06 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 31 Aug 2019 → 08 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 23 Nov 2024 → 26 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 13 Nov 2022 → 11 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 15 Jan 2022 → 05 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 17 Dec 2019 → 24 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 16 Mar 2012 → 06 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 09 May 2003 → 19 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 16 Apr 2017 → 04 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 442 | 132 | 29.9% | 0 | 9 |
| Bundesliga | 243 | 62 | 25.5% | 4 | 15 |
| DFB-Pokal | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 1 | 5 |
| 3. Liga | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 5 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2025 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 19 |
| 2022 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 15 |
| 2021 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 7 |
| 2020 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2019 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2018 | 36 | 17 | 47.2% | 4 |
| 2017 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2016 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2014 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 5 |
| 2013 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 6 |
| 2012 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2011 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2009 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2008 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2003 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 9 |
| 2002 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 7 |
| 2001 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 5 |
Matches
all results ›
807 matches · page 1 / 21
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 13:30 |
1. FC Union Berlin
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 13:30 |
Augsburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:45 |
1. FC Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 14:30 |
1. FC Union Berlin
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 16:30 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 14:30 |
1. FC Union Berlin
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sat, 20 Mar 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Mar |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.