☆
· GER · 2. Bundesliga
Team ☆
all results ›
GER · Club
VfL Osnabrück
VfL Osnabrück
Played
764
Draw %
27.2%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
19
31 Oct 2020 → 28 Feb 2021
Avg top run
11.8
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
20.0%
p100
20.0%
Draw score
0.067
rank #1,847
Draws
208
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,664
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,690
reached 3 May 2026
Rank
#366
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
764
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 407 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), VfL Osnabrück drew 115 where the draw model expected 111.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 111.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
31 Oct 2020 → 28 Feb 2021
2 17
16 Mar 2019 → 15 Sep 2019
3 12
21 Feb 2026 → 03 May 2026
4 11
10 Feb 2017 → 08 Apr 2017
5 11
26 Oct 2003 → 13 Feb 2004
6 10
13 Aug 2016 → 29 Oct 2016
7 10
20 Apr 2013 → 17 Aug 2013
8 10
03 Apr 2012 → 05 Aug 2012
9 9
18 Feb 2024 → 20 Apr 2024
10 9
02 Mar 2008 → 27 Apr 2008
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 31 Oct 2020 → 28 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 16 Mar 2019 → 15 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 21 Feb 2026 → 03 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 10 Feb 2017 → 08 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 26 Oct 2003 → 13 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 13 Aug 2016 → 29 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 20 Apr 2013 → 17 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 03 Apr 2012 → 05 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 18 Feb 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 02 Mar 2008 → 27 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 456 | 125 | 27.4% | 1 | 12 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 279 | 77 | 27.6% | 0 | 18 |
| DFB-Pokal | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 12 |
| 2025 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2023 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2022 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2021 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2020 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 9 |
| 2019 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 17 |
| 2018 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2017 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2016 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 2012 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2008 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 9 |
| 2007 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2003 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2001 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 8 |
| 2000 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
Matches
all results ›
764 matches · page 1 / 20
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 11:30 |
Arminia Bielefeld
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.1% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 12:30 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 12:00 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 12:00 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 12:30 |
Karlsruher SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.