☆
· ITL · UEFA Champions League
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
1,833
Draw %
19.4%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
30
15 Apr 1995 → 04 Nov 1995
Avg top run
24.9
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
16.0%
p100
15.0%
Draw score
0.050
rank #1,925
Draws
355
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
2,302
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
2,328
reached 25 Apr 2026
Rank
#1
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,833
last 13 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 636 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), FC Bayern München drew 95 where the draw model expected 100.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 151.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 30
17 Aug 2021 → 12 Feb 2022
2 30
15 Apr 1995 → 04 Nov 1995
3 29
05 Feb 2005 → 01 Oct 2005
4 26
10 May 2025 → 04 Nov 2025
5 25
19 Oct 2013 → 08 Mar 2014
6 23
16 Feb 2020 → 18 Sep 2020
7 23
18 Dec 2012 → 01 May 2013
8 23
08 Apr 2000 → 21 Oct 2000
9 21
28 Oct 2017 → 20 Feb 2018
10 19
22 Oct 2019 → 05 Feb 2020
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 17 Aug 2021 → 12 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 30 | 15 Apr 1995 → 04 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 29 | 05 Feb 2005 → 01 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 26 | 10 May 2025 → 04 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 25 | 19 Oct 2013 → 08 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 23 | 16 Feb 2020 → 18 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 23 | 18 Dec 2012 → 01 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 23 | 08 Apr 2000 → 21 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 21 | 28 Oct 2017 → 20 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 19 | 22 Oct 2019 → 05 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 1127 | 219 | 19.4% | 0 | 25 |
| UEFA Champions League | 422 | 85 | 20.1% | 0 | 19 |
| DFB-Pokal | 96 | 10 | 10.4% | 7 | 12 |
| UEFA Europa League | 68 | 13 | 19.1% | 1 | 9 |
| Club Friendlies | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 1 | 6 |
| DFL-Supercup | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 0 | 5 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 0 | 2 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2025 | 61 | 8 | 13.1% | 26 |
| 2024 | 54 | 8 | 14.8% | 9 |
| 2023 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2022 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 10 |
| 2021 | 58 | 6 | 10.3% | 25 |
| 2020 | 50 | 6 | 12.0% | 23 |
| 2019 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 14 |
| 2018 | 56 | 8 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2017 | 54 | 8 | 14.8% | 12 |
| 2016 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 2015 | 56 | 6 | 10.7% | 17 |
| 2014 | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | 12 |
| 2013 | 56 | 4 | 7.1% | 22 |
| 2012 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 18 |
| 2011 | 47 | 5 | 10.6% | 14 |
| 2010 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2008 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2005 | 44 | 4 | 9.1% | 29 |
| 2004 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 14 |
| 2003 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2002 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 8 |
| 2001 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 8 |
| 2000 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 23 |
| 1999 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 1998 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 10 |
| 1997 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 1996 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 11 |
| 1995 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 30 |
| 1994 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 1993 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1991 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1990 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 1987 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1982 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 1981 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1977 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1976 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 1975 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 8 |
| 1974 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1972 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1966 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Matches
all results ›
1,833 matches · page 1 / 46
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next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Wed, 21 Oct 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
☆
GER · DFB-Pokal
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Tue, 03 Nov 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Fri, 20 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 27 Feb 2027
☆
GER · Bundesliga
|
||||||
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 16:30 |
FC Bayern München
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Oct 19:00 |
FC Bayern München
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 16:30 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 19:45 |
FC Bayern München
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 10.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 17:30 |
FC Bayern München
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 03 Nov 20:00 |
Atlético Madrid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 14:30 |
Mainz 05
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Nov 19:30 |
FC Bayern München
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 9.7% |
|
| Sat, 27 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Feb |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.