T Reeves
Over 188 matches (Aug 2018 – Oct 2026), T Reeves drew 42 where the draw model expected 51.8 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 50.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 67 | 11 | 16.4% |
| ENG · League Two | 64 | 14 | 21.9% |
| ENG · National League | 46 | 14 | 30.4% |
| ENG · Championship | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| 2025/26 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% |
| 2024/25 | 21 | 4 | 19.0% |
| 2023/24 | 29 | 2 | 6.9% |
| 2022/23 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% |
| 2021/22 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% |
| 2020/21 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% |
| 2019/20 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% |
| 2018/19 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Charlton Athletic | 1–1 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2–2 | Reading | D | ENG · League One |
| 09 Sep 2026 | Norwich City | 2–1 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Sep 2026 | Reading | 5–0 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Charlton Athletic | 1–0 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Blackburn Rovers | 2–1 | Middlesbrough | H | ENG · Championship |
| 02 May 2026 | Cheltenham Town | 1–4 | Colchester United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3–0 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Norwich City | 2–1 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Notts County | 1–2 | Barnet | A | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Chesterfield | 2–1 | Grimsby Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Bradford City | 0–1 | Stevenage | A | ENG · League One |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Barnsley | 0–3 | Plymouth Argyle | A | ENG · League One |
| 02 Apr 2026 | Wigan Athletic | 0–0 | Leyton Orient | D | ENG · League One |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Port Vale | 1–0 | Bolton Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–2 | Ipswich Town | A | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Barrow | 0–2 | Bristol Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Cardiff City | 0–2 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Wrexham | 2–1 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Crawley Town | 2–0 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wycombe Wanderers | 0–2 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Reading | 2–0 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Cardiff City | 1–0 | Exeter City | H | ENG · League One |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–5 | Plymouth Argyle | A | ENG · League One |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Swansea City | 1–0 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Wrexham | 1–1 | Blackburn Rovers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Norwich City | 1–1 | Oxford United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Crewe Alexandra | 3–1 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 2–1 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 2–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Forest Green Rovers | 0–1 | Rochdale | A | ENG · National League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Burton Albion | 0–4 | Plymouth Argyle | A | ENG · League One |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Crawley Town | 2–0 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Barrow | 0–1 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Notts County | 2–2 | Bromley | D | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Aug 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 1–1 | Reading | D | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Stevenage | 2–0 | Northampton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Aug 2025 | Port Vale | 0–0 | Cardiff City | D | ENG · League One |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Tranmere Rovers | 4–0 | Chesterfield | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Birmingham City | 4–1 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Mansfield Town | 2–1 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Bristol Rovers | 1–0 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Leyton Orient | 1–2 | Charlton Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Blackpool | 3–1 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Gillingham | 1–2 | Notts County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Burton Albion | 4–2 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Swindon Town | 3–2 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Exeter City | 3–1 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–1 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Barnsley | 0–1 | Wigan Athletic | A | ENG · League One |