T Parsons
Over 156 matches (Aug 2019 – Oct 2026), T Parsons drew 40 where the draw model expected 42.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 41.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 55 | 13 | 23.6% |
| ENG · League One | 50 | 15 | 30.0% |
| ENG · National League | 46 | 9 | 19.6% |
| ENG · Championship | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| 2025/26 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% |
| 2024/25 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% |
| 2023/24 | 21 | 4 | 19.0% |
| 2022/23 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% |
| 2021/22 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% |
| 2020/21 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% |
| 2019/20 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Lincoln City | 4–1 | Burnley | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Stevenage | 3–0 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Mansfield Town | 1–1 | Oxford United | D | ENG · League One |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Chesterfield | 4–2 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Queens Park Rangers | 2–2 | Preston North End | D | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Bolton Wanderers | 1–0 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Wigan Athletic | 0–4 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League One |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0–0 | Leicester City | D | ENG · League One |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–1 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League One |
| 02 May 2026 | Harrogate Town | 1–2 | Barnet | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Norwich City | 1–1 | Swansea City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Cambridge United | 1–2 | Grimsby Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday | 1–1 | Charlton Athletic | D | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Bolton Wanderers | 5–1 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Peterborough United | 1–1 | Cardiff City | D | ENG · League One |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Salford City | 1–0 | Milton Keynes Dons | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Tranmere Rovers | 0–1 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Port Vale | 0–0 | Huddersfield Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Mansfield Town | 1–0 | Reading | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Lincoln City | 4–0 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Grimsby Town | 2–2 | Walsall | D | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Cambridge United | 3–1 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Carlisle United | 3–2 | Scunthorpe United | H | ENG · National League |
| 03 Feb 2026 | Barnsley | 2–2 | Northampton Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Bolton Wanderers | 2–1 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2–0 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Stockport County | 4–2 | Doncaster Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Barrow | 1–2 | Cheltenham Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Mansfield Town | 0–1 | Bolton Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 0–1 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League One |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Blackpool | 0–3 | Reading | A | ENG · League One |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Barnsley | 5–0 | Luton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Chesterfield | 3–3 | Accrington Stanley | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bristol Rovers | 1–4 | Tranmere Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–1 | Burton Albion | D | ENG · League One |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Peterborough United | 0–3 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Harrogate Town | 0–1 | Crawley Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Reading | 1–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League One |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Hartlepool United | 3–0 | Woking | H | ENG · National League |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Stockport County | 1–2 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Cardiff City | 3–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Aug 2025 | Luton Town | 1–0 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 03 May 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 0–1 | Chesterfield | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–0 | Crewe Alexandra | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–1 | Wigan Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 05 Apr 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Cambridge United | 2–2 | Wrexham | D | ENG · League One |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Bradford City | 0–1 | Tranmere Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Exeter City | 2–0 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Hartlepool United | 0–1 | York City | A | ENG · National League |