T Kirk
Over 123 matches (Jan 2022 – Oct 2026), T Kirk drew 27 where the draw model expected 34.2 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 33.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 38 | 10 | 26.3% |
| ENG · Championship | 37 | 9 | 24.3% |
| ENG · League One | 36 | 6 | 16.7% |
| ENG · National League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% |
| ENG · Premier League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| 2025/26 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% |
| 2024/25 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% |
| 2023/24 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| 2022/23 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% |
| 2021/22 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Birmingham City | 3–0 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Wrexham | 1–2 | West Bromwich Albion | A | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Bolton Wanderers | 1–2 | Stoke City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Oxford United | 1–1 | Cambridge United | D | ENG · League One |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Stockport County | 3–4 | Leicester City | A | ENG · League One |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Accrington Stanley | 3–2 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 May 2026 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–1 | Fulham | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Southampton | 2–2 | Ipswich Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Leicester City | 2–2 | Hull City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Nottingham Forest | 4–1 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Middlesbrough | 0–1 | Portsmouth | A | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Preston North End | 1–1 | Queens Park Rangers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Bristol City | 0–1 | West Bromwich Albion | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Sunderland | 0–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Stoke City | 3–3 | Ipswich Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Mar 2026 | Birmingham City | 1–3 | Middlesbrough | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Swansea City | 4–0 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Norwich City | 2–1 | Coventry City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Southampton | 1–0 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1–1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Blackburn Rovers | 0–2 | Wrexham | A | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Stoke City | 0–0 | Preston North End | D | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Leicester City | 3–1 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Derby County | 1–1 | Millwall | D | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 0–1 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Nov 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–1 | Birmingham City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 1–2 | Derby County | A | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Portsmouth | 0–1 | Stoke City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Oct 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–1 | Middlesbrough | A | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Ipswich Town | 3–1 | Norwich City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Coventry City | 3–0 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Preston North End | 2–2 | Middlesbrough | D | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Millwall | 0–2 | Wrexham | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 1–4 | Crewe Alexandra | A | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Swansea City | 1–0 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 03 May 2025 | Lincoln City | 0–2 | Wrexham | A | ENG · League One |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Barrow | 0–0 | Tranmere Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Norwich City | 3–5 | Portsmouth | A | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Swindon Town | 5–4 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Reading | 1–0 | Wycombe Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Blackpool | 1–2 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League One |
| 08 Mar 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 2–0 | Notts County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 3–1 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 1–2 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Cardiff City | 1–0 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Port Vale | 2–1 | Salford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Bristol Rovers | 3–1 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Wrexham | 2–3 | Stevenage | A | ENG · League One |
| 07 Jan 2025 | Wycombe Wanderers | 0–1 | Huddersfield Town | A | ENG · League One |