T Harrington
Over 367 matches (Aug 2008 – Oct 2026), T Harrington drew 76 where the draw model expected 100.1 from those particular fixtures — about 24 fewer, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 98.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 200 | 40 | 20.0% |
| ENG · Premier League | 52 | 12 | 23.1% |
| ENG · National League | 48 | 9 | 18.8% |
| ENG · League Two | 34 | 7 | 20.6% |
| ENG · League One | 33 | 8 | 24.2% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| 2025/26 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% |
| 2024/25 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% |
| 2023/24 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% |
| 2022/23 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| 2021/22 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% |
| 2020/21 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% |
| 2019/20 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% |
| 2018/19 | 27 | 3 | 11.1% |
| 2017/18 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% |
| 2016/17 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% |
| 2015/16 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% |
| 2014/15 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% |
| 2013/14 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% |
| 2011/12 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% |
| 2010/11 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| 2009/10 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2008/09 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Arsenal | 2–0 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Newcastle United | 2–1 | Hull City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Coventry City | 0–5 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United | 3–2 | Bolton Wanderers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Leeds United | 1–1 | Brentford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Lincoln City | 1–3 | Portsmouth | A | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Bradford City | 2–0 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Aston Villa | 0–1 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Jan 2026 | West Ham United | 1–2 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1–1 | Fulham | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1–1 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 2–0 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Manchester United | 0–1 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–3 | Burnley | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Manchester City | 2–0 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 0–1 | Sunderland | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Sep 2025 | West Ham United | 1–2 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Portsmouth | 1–0 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Brentford | 1–0 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Watford | 2–1 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 25 May 2025 | Newcastle United | 0–1 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 May 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 2–2 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Southampton | 1–2 | Fulham | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Sheffield United | 2–0 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Apr 2025 | Burnley | 2–1 | Norwich City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–0 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Stoke City | 3–1 | Queens Park Rangers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Preston North End | 2–1 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Leicester City | 0–4 | Brentford | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Cardiff City | 1–1 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1–2 | Brentford | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Jan 2025 | Ipswich Town | 0–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Everton | 0–2 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2–0 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Liverpool | 2–2 | Fulham | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Dec 2024 | Southampton | 1–5 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1–0 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Middlesbrough | 5–1 | Luton Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Liverpool | 2–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Manchester City | 1–0 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Arsenal | 3–1 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Liverpool | 3–0 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Crystal Palace | 2–2 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Burnley | 1–1 | Blackburn Rovers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Aug 2024 | West Ham United | 1–2 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 May 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 2–3 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Newcastle United | 5–1 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Apr 2024 | Middlesbrough | 3–4 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Bournemouth | 2–2 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–2 | West Ham United | A | ENG · Premier League |