▦ FDB4
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Match official

Steve Tanner

2003–2012 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: S Tanner
Matches 249
Draws 58
Draw % 23.3% -1.1 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 249 matches (Aug 2003 – Jan 2012), Steve Tanner drew 58 where the draw model expected 69.4 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 67.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 97 21 21.6%
ENG · League One 64 20 31.3%
ENG · League Two 62 15 24.2%
ENG · Premier League 26 2 7.7%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2011/12 8 2 25.0%
2010/11 35 8 22.9%
2009/10 32 9 28.1%
2008/09 29 5 17.2%
2007/08 31 7 22.6%
2006/07 30 7 23.3%
2005/06 30 8 26.7%
2004/05 28 6 21.4%
2003/04 26 6 23.1%
Latest matches last 50

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