S Gill
Over 118 matches (Oct 2020 – Oct 2026), S Gill drew 24 where the draw model expected 32.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 31.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 36 | 9 | 25.0% |
| ENG · League One | 35 | 8 | 22.9% |
| ENG · National League | 33 | 6 | 18.2% |
| ENG · Championship | 14 | 1 | 7.1% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| 2025/26 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2024/25 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% |
| 2023/24 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% |
| 2022/23 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% |
| 2021/22 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% |
| 2020/21 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | Burton Albion | 0–0 | Bradford City | D | ENG · League One |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Tranmere Rovers | 1–1 | Rochdale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Yeovil Town | 1–1 | Worthing | D | ENG · National League |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Gillingham | 3–0 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Newport County | 1–1 | Fleetwood Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Swindon Town | 3–1 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Exeter City | 1–1 | Barnet | D | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Forest Green Rovers | 0–3 | Boreham Wood | A | ENG · National League |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Solihull Moors | 0–3 | Boston United | A | ENG · National League |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Walsall | 3–1 | Chesterfield | H | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Leyton Orient | 3–0 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Barnsley | 0–0 | Burton Albion | D | ENG · League One |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 3–1 | Northampton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Peterborough United | 1–1 | Exeter City | D | ENG · League One |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Preston North End | 3–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Bromley | 5–2 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Cheltenham Town | 2–0 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Portsmouth | 3–0 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Nov 2024 | Norwich City | 6–1 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Shrewsbury Town | 3–2 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · League One |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3–1 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Rotherham United | 2–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–1 | Salford City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Oct 2024 | Tranmere Rovers | 0–2 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Woking | 1–1 | York City | D | ENG · National League |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Huddersfield Town | 1–3 | Northampton Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Birmingham City | 2–1 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Bristol City | 4–3 | Millwall | H | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Peterborough United | 0–2 | Huddersfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Lincoln City | 0–2 | Portsmouth | A | ENG · League One |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Blackpool | 3–2 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Wrexham | 6–0 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Apr 2024 | Millwall | 1–0 | Leicester City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Sutton United | 1–3 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Leyton Orient | 1–2 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Colchester United | 2–1 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Accrington Stanley | 2–2 | Notts County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Mar 2024 | Bolton Wanderers | 5–0 | Oxford United | H | ENG · League One |
| 05 Mar 2024 | Sunderland | 0–1 | Leicester City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Mar 2024 | Derby County | 3–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League One |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Middlesbrough | 0–2 | Plymouth Argyle | A | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Salford City | 5–3 | Barrow | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Feb 2024 | Stevenage | 2–3 | Bristol Rovers | A | ENG · League One |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Forest Green Rovers | 0–4 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Rotherham United | 0–2 | Southampton | A | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3–1 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Norwich City | 2–0 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Dec 2023 | Exeter City | 0–0 | Portsmouth | D | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2023 | Hull City | 0–1 | Sunderland | A | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–1 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |