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R East

2005–2019 · 5 competitions
Matches 341
Draws 92
Draw % 27.0% +2.6 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 341 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2019), R East drew 92 where the draw model expected 92.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 90.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 91 25 27.5%
ENG · Championship 82 22 26.8%
ENG · League One 81 18 22.2%
ENG · League Two 64 20 31.3%
ENG · National League 23 7 30.4%
By season 14 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2018/19 20 4 20.0%
2017/18 26 10 38.5%
2016/17 28 5 17.9%
2015/16 31 9 29.0%
2014/15 26 5 19.2%
2013/14 24 9 37.5%
2012/13 5 2 40.0%
2011/12 37 10 27.0%
2010/11 33 8 24.2%
2009/10 34 6 17.6%
2008/09 29 8 27.6%
2007/08 26 10 38.5%
2006/07 12 3 25.0%
2005/06 10 3 30.0%
Latest matches last 50

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