▦ FDB4
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Match official

Phil Prosser

2000–2005 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: P Prosser, P. J. Prosser, Prosser, P. J.
Matches 133
Draws 28
Draw % 21.1% -3.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 133 matches (Aug 2000 – Apr 2005), Phil Prosser drew 28 where the draw model expected 36.7 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 36.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 60 11 18.3%
ENG · League One 47 11 23.4%
ENG · Championship 26 6 23.1%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2004/05 28 6 21.4%
2003/04 29 10 34.5%
2002/03 29 3 10.3%
2001/02 24 4 16.7%
2000/01 23 5 21.7%
Latest matches last 50

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