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Match official

Paul Danson

2000–2005 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: Danson, P. S., P Danson, P. S. Danson
Matches 151
Draws 47
Draw % 31.1% +6.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 151 matches (Aug 2000 – Apr 2005), Paul Danson drew 47 where the draw model expected 42.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 41.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 61 19 31.1%
ENG · League Two 47 16 34.0%
ENG · Championship 43 12 27.9%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2004/05 29 8 27.6%
2003/04 27 12 44.4%
2002/03 30 9 30.0%
2001/02 32 7 21.9%
2000/01 33 11 33.3%
Latest matches last 50

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