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Match official

P Miller

2005–2015 · 3 competitions
Matches 186
Draws 53
Draw % 28.5% +4.1 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 186 matches (Aug 2005 – Mar 2015), P Miller drew 53 where the draw model expected 52.1 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 50.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 84 28 33.3%
ENG · League One 70 19 27.1%
ENG · Championship 32 6 18.8%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2014/15 23 9 39.1%
2013/14 1 0 0.0%
2011/12 19 7 36.8%
2010/11 28 8 28.6%
2009/10 20 5 25.0%
2008/09 21 5 23.8%
2007/08 22 4 18.2%
2006/07 29 8 27.6%
2005/06 23 7 30.4%
Latest matches last 50

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