▦ FDB4
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Match official

P Howard

2018–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 179
Draws 55
Draw % 30.7% +6.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 179 matches (Aug 2018 – Oct 2026), P Howard drew 55 where the draw model expected 49.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 48.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 76 21 27.6%
ENG · League One 66 19 28.8%
ENG · National League 37 15 40.5%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 5 2 40.0%
2025/26 19 6 31.6%
2024/25 22 5 22.7%
2023/24 31 5 16.1%
2022/23 21 12 57.1%
2021/22 24 6 25.0%
2020/21 25 5 20.0%
2019/20 12 4 33.3%
2018/19 20 10 50.0%
Latest matches last 50

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