Mm Coy
Over 292 matches (Aug 2013 – Oct 2026), Mm Coy drew 79 where the draw model expected 80.1 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 77.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 110 | 30 | 27.3% |
| ENG · League Two | 103 | 28 | 27.2% |
| ENG · National League | 78 | 21 | 26.9% |
| ENG · Championship | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| 2025/26 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% |
| 2024/25 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% |
| 2023/24 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% |
| 2022/23 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| 2021/22 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
| 2020/21 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% |
| 2019/20 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
| 2018/19 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% |
| 2017/18 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% |
| 2016/17 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% |
| 2015/16 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% |
| 2014/15 | 17 | 3 | 17.6% |
| 2013/14 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | Walsall | 2–4 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2–1 | Luton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Stockport County | 3–1 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Bristol Rovers | 1–0 | Exeter City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Mansfield Town | 0–0 | Huddersfield Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Blackpool | 4–0 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League One |
| 02 May 2026 | Tranmere Rovers | 1–1 | Grimsby Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–1 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League One |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Harrogate Town | 1–0 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Bradford City | 1–0 | Northampton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Blackpool | 1–0 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Barrow | 0–0 | Accrington Stanley | D | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Huddersfield Town | 1–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Feb 2026 | York City | 2–1 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · National League |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Burton Albion | 2–2 | Cardiff City | D | ENG · League One |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–1 | Bolton Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Barnsley | 2–3 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Oldham Athletic | 3–1 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Salford City | 4–3 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 3–1 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Carlisle United | 1–1 | Eastleigh | D | ENG · National League |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 4–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Crewe Alexandra | 3–2 | Grimsby Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Lincoln City | 1–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Blackpool | 1–0 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 1–0 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Huddersfield Town | 3–2 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Bradford City | 3–2 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–1 | Wycombe Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 03 May 2025 | Bradford City | 1–0 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Leyton Orient | 1–0 | Wycombe Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 1–1 | Carlisle United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Wrexham | 1–1 | Bristol Rovers | D | ENG · League One |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Huddersfield Town | 2–1 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–1 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Rotherham United | 1–1 | Exeter City | D | ENG · League One |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Stockport County | 0–0 | Charlton Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Salford City | 1–2 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–2 | Grimsby Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Coventry City | 2–1 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Blackpool | 2–2 | Huddersfield Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Rotherham United | 0–1 | Wigan Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Barrow | 2–0 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–4 | Wycombe Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Wigan Athletic | 0–2 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League One |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–1 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Bolton Wanderers | 2–1 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |