▦ FDB4
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Match official

Michael Jones

2000–2018 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: Jones, M. J., M Jones, M. J. Jones, M. Jones
Matches 525
Draws 147
Draw % 28.0% +3.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 525 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2018), Michael Jones drew 147 where the draw model expected 139.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 139.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 202 53 26.2%
ENG · Championship 164 46 28.0%
ENG · League One 83 32 38.6%
ENG · League Two 76 16 21.1%
By season 18 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2017/18 22 6 27.3%
2016/17 25 7 28.0%
2015/16 34 10 29.4%
2014/15 31 7 22.6%
2013/14 28 7 25.0%
2012/13 22 8 36.4%
2011/12 29 7 24.1%
2010/11 31 9 29.0%
2009/10 30 8 26.7%
2008/09 33 15 45.5%
2007/08 32 9 28.1%
2006/07 33 10 30.3%
2005/06 30 8 26.7%
2004/05 32 10 31.3%
2003/04 28 4 14.3%
2002/03 26 8 30.8%
2001/02 27 7 25.9%
2000/01 32 7 21.9%
Latest matches last 50

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