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Match official

M Russell

2004–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 395
Draws 110
Draw % 27.9% +3.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 395 matches (Aug 2004 – Oct 2026), M Russell drew 110 where the draw model expected 109.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 106.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 114 34 29.8%
ENG · League Two 108 22 20.4%
ENG · Championship 94 29 30.9%
ENG · National League 79 25 31.6%
By season 18 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 5 1 20.0%
2025/26 21 5 23.8%
2024/25 18 5 27.8%
2023/24 14 5 35.7%
2022/23 13 6 46.2%
2021/22 17 4 23.5%
2020/21 14 4 28.6%
2019/20 13 6 46.2%
2014/15 25 6 24.0%
2013/14 25 7 28.0%
2011/12 12 1 8.3%
2010/11 39 12 30.8%
2009/10 36 12 33.3%
2008/09 23 5 21.7%
2007/08 34 9 26.5%
2006/07 29 4 13.8%
2005/06 30 10 33.3%
2004/05 27 8 29.6%
Latest matches last 50

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