Match official

M Corlett

2022–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 101
Draws 18
Draw % 17.8% -6.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4

Over 101 matches (Aug 2022 – Oct 2026), M Corlett drew 18 where the draw model expected 27.2 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 38 2 5.3%
ENG · League Two 38 10 26.3%
ENG · National League 19 6 31.6%
ENG · Championship 6 0 0.0%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 7 0 0.0%
2025/26 31 2 6.5%
2024/25 24 5 20.8%
2023/24 21 5 23.8%
2022/23 18 6 33.3%
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