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L Doughty

2018–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 200
Draws 65
Draw % 32.5% +8.2 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 200 matches (Aug 2018 – Oct 2026), L Doughty drew 65 where the draw model expected 55.3 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 54.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 111 36 32.4%
ENG · League Two 42 14 33.3%
ENG · League One 31 11 35.5%
ENG · National League 16 4 25.0%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 5 1 20.0%
2025/26 26 7 26.9%
2024/25 23 11 47.8%
2023/24 27 10 37.0%
2022/23 32 7 21.9%
2021/22 30 15 50.0%
2020/21 22 6 27.3%
2019/20 20 4 20.0%
2018/19 15 4 26.7%
Latest matches last 50

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