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Match official

J Waugh

2005–2012 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: J.Waugh
Matches 102
Draws 20
Draw % 19.6% -4.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 102 matches (Aug 2005 – Apr 2012), J Waugh drew 20 where the draw model expected 27.9 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 39 6 15.4%
ENG · League Two 28 5 17.9%
ENG · League One 26 7 26.9%
ENG · Championship 9 2 22.2%
By season 7 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2011/12 30 7 23.3%
2010/11 12 4 33.3%
2009/10 21 3 14.3%
2008/09 11 1 9.1%
2007/08 12 1 8.3%
2006/07 11 3 27.3%
2005/06 5 1 20.0%
Latest matches last 50

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